Aberdeen vs Heart of Midlothian analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.4%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.2%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
32.4%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aberdeen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2003 |
QOS
0 - 2
ABE
31%
25%
44%
|
75 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 2003 |
ABE
1 - 1
CEL
30%
25%
45%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2002 |
HIB
2 - 0
ABE
56%
22%
21%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2002 |
DUN
1 - 2
ABE
43%
26%
31%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2002 |
ABE
0 - 0
LIV
46%
25%
28%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Heart of Midlothian
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2003 |
FAL
4 - 0
HOM
31%
25%
44%
|
79 | 67 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 2003 |
HOM
4 - 4
HIB
55%
23%
22%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2002 |
DUN
1 - 2
HOM
36%
26%
38%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | +1 |
| 26 Dec. 2002 |
CEL
4 - 2
HOM
63%
20%
17%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 Dec. 2002 |
DUN
0 - 3
HOM
34%
27%
40%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | +1 |