Aberdeen vs Heart of Midlothian analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.3%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.7%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.6%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
32.2%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
17%
0-2
4%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aberdeen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jan. 1932 |
DUN
0 - 0
ABE
56%
21%
23%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1931 |
ABE
2 - 2
AIR
66%
18%
17%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 1931 |
CWB
3 - 1
ABE
36%
23%
41%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | -1 |
| 12 Dec. 1931 |
ABE
0 - 0
GLA
49%
22%
29%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 1931 |
LEI
1 - 2
ABE
35%
23%
42%
|
79 | 61 | 18 | +1 |
Matches
Heart of Midlothian
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jan. 1932 |
HOM
4 - 2
LEI
80%
12%
8%
|
83 | 61 | 22 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1931 |
KIL
2 - 1
HOM
42%
22%
36%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 1931 |
HOM
5 - 0
DUN
85%
9%
5%
|
83 | 57 | 26 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 1931 |
HOM
3 - 2
CWB
66%
17%
16%
|
83 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 1931 |
AIR
3 - 1
HOM
40%
23%
37%
|
83 | 71 | 12 | 0 |