Aberdare Town FC vs Cwmbran Celtic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.6%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.3%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.1%
18.3%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aberdare Town FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2013 |
MON
0 - 1
ABE
49%
22%
29%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2013 |
CAM
2 - 0
ABE
56%
22%
22%
|
35 | 41 | 6 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
TAF
3 - 2
ABE
49%
22%
29%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2013 |
CWM
1 - 2
ABE
27%
22%
51%
|
35 | 27 | 8 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2013 |
TAT
0 - 3
ABE
18%
20%
62%
|
35 | 21 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Cwmbran Celtic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2013 |
CWM
1 - 1
BRY
44%
23%
33%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2013 |
CWM
5 - 1
HAV
20%
21%
59%
|
26 | 41 | 15 | +5 |
| 07 May. 2013 |
BRY
3 - 3
CWM
68%
18%
14%
|
27 | 34 | 7 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2013 |
WES
2 - 0
CWM
78%
14%
9%
|
27 | 41 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2013 |
CWM
1 - 0
AFC
32%
24%
44%
|
26 | 35 | 9 | +1 |