Aberaman AFC vs Cefn Druids AFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17.5%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.4%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.4%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.2%
62.3%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.4%
0-2
9.7%
1-3
7%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
18.8%
0-3
6.8%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.4%
0-4
3.6%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.5%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aberaman AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2010 |
BAN
3 - 1
AFC
82%
13%
6%
|
17 | 62 | 45 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2009 |
AFC
2 - 0
ERA
16%
20%
64%
|
12 | 32 | 20 | +5 |
| 03 Oct. 2008 |
POR
1 - 0
AFC
80%
14%
7%
|
12 | 58 | 46 | 0 |
Matches
Cefn Druids AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2010 |
FLI
1 - 0
CEF
59%
22%
20%
|
37 | 43 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2010 |
CEF
5 - 1
CON
30%
25%
46%
|
33 | 47 | 14 | +4 |
| 16 Oct. 2010 |
WEL
1 - 4
CEF
54%
23%
23%
|
33 | 29 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2010 |
CEF
2 - 1
GUI
72%
17%
12%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2010 |
CEF
4 - 1
AEL
60%
20%
20%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | 0 |