Abejar vs Arcos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
89%
Win probability
3.44
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.4%
8-0
0.9%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.1%
7-0
2%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.6%
6-0
4.1%
7-1
1.2%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
5.4%
5-0
7.1%
6-1
2.4%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
9.9%
4-0
10.4%
5-1
4.2%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
15.4%
3-0
12.1%
4-1
6.1%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
19.6%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.8%
7.7%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
3.6%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
0.1%
0
7.7%
3.2%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
1%
1-2
1.1%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
2.5%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-46%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Abejar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
ABE
5 - 1
LAN
77%
14%
10%
|
20 | 14 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2016 |
ABE
4 - 0
COV
89%
8%
3%
|
18 | 9 | 9 | +2 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
SAM
0 - 1
ABE
14%
19%
67%
|
18 | 10 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
ABE
5 - 1
CAS
90%
8%
3%
|
19 | 7 | 12 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
NAV
0 - 2
ABE
14%
19%
67%
|
19 | 10 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Arcos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
ARC
2 - 3
CAL
31%
21%
48%
|
9 | 12 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
LAN
2 - 1
ARC
65%
18%
17%
|
9 | 12 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
ARC
1 - 2
SAM
57%
20%
23%
|
10 | 10 | 0 | -1 |
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
ARC
2 - 1
CAS
59%
19%
22%
|
10 | 9 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2016 |
ARC
3 - 1
NAV
30%
20%
50%
|
9 | 11 | 2 | +1 |