ABC vs Santa Cruz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28.6%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.2%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.5%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
18.4%
28.7%
Draw
0-0
11%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.7%
42.6%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
13.7%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
-1
23.7%
0-2
8.5%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
12.4%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ABC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 1976 |
ABC
1 - 1
NAU
37%
28%
35%
|
65 | 79 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 1976 |
ARN
3 - 1
ABC
67%
20%
13%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 1976 |
VOL
0 - 0
ABC
46%
26%
29%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1976 |
FLA
2 - 0
ABC
83%
12%
6%
|
66 | 85 | 19 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 1976 |
SPO
1 - 0
ABC
64%
23%
13%
|
67 | 80 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Santa Cruz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 1976 |
FLA
0 - 0
SAN
29%
29%
42%
|
82 | 58 | 24 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 1976 |
SAN
2 - 1
FLA
49%
26%
25%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 1976 |
SPO
1 - 0
SAN
45%
25%
31%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 1976 |
SAM
0 - 2
SAN
26%
28%
46%
|
82 | 63 | 19 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 1976 |
ARN
0 - 0
SAN
39%
24%
37%
|
82 | 72 | 10 | 0 |