ABC vs Salgueiro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.1%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.2%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
29.9%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ABC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
PAL
0 - 2
ABC
18%
22%
61%
|
56 | 38 | 18 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
IMP
3 - 2
ABC
19%
24%
57%
|
56 | 38 | 18 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2016 |
ABC
2 - 1
IMP
76%
17%
8%
|
56 | 39 | 17 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
POT
1 - 0
ABC
21%
25%
53%
|
57 | 45 | 12 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2016 |
SAL
2 - 0
ABC
38%
28%
35%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Salgueiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
SAL
3 - 0
AME
65%
22%
13%
|
58 | 42 | 16 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2016 |
SAL
1 - 2
CAM
44%
28%
28%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2016 |
AME
1 - 3
SAL
18%
26%
57%
|
58 | 42 | 16 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2016 |
CAM
1 - 0
SAL
41%
27%
33%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
SAL
1 - 0
CEN
63%
23%
14%
|
59 | 45 | 14 | 0 |