ABC vs Parnahyba analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
76.7%
Win probability
2.54
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.5%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.5%
3-0
10.5%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.2%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
14.9%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
7%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.8%
8.4%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6.2%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ABC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
ABC
1 - 1
ARN
52%
24%
24%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2013 |
COR
0 - 2
ABC
16%
22%
63%
|
65 | 44 | 21 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2013 |
ABC
0 - 0
BAR
80%
13%
7%
|
65 | 45 | 20 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2013 |
PAR
1 - 3
ABC
15%
23%
62%
|
65 | 46 | 19 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
SAN
0 - 1
ABC
15%
23%
62%
|
65 | 48 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Parnahyba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2013 |
PAR
4 - 1
RIV
38%
26%
35%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2013 |
4DE
2 - 0
PAR
39%
25%
36%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
PIC
0 - 0
PAR
28%
24%
48%
|
45 | 36 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2013 |
PAR
1 - 3
ABC
15%
23%
62%
|
46 | 65 | 19 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
PIA
1 - 0
PAR
31%
24%
45%
|
47 | 36 | 11 | -1 |