ABC vs Paraná analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28.2%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.6%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.7%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.1%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
46.3%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ABC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2008 |
CRI
2 - 0
ABC
66%
20%
14%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2008 |
JUV
3 - 0
ABC
66%
21%
13%
|
59 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2008 |
ABC
4 - 1
GAM
38%
27%
36%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | +1 |
| 30 Aug. 2008 |
COR
4 - 0
ABC
73%
19%
8%
|
59 | 82 | 23 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2008 |
ABC
1 - 1
AVA
22%
24%
54%
|
58 | 73 | 15 | +1 |
Matches
Paraná
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2008 |
PAR
3 - 0
BAH
49%
26%
25%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2008 |
CEA
1 - 1
PAR
43%
25%
32%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2008 |
BRA
3 - 0
PAR
38%
26%
37%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 2008 |
PAR
1 - 0
MAR
48%
26%
26%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2008 |
PAR
3 - 1
FOR
43%
29%
28%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | +1 |