ABC vs Luverdense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.2%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
7%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.7%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
16.8%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ABC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2014 |
ABC
3 - 2
CRZ
21%
26%
54%
|
63 | 88 | 25 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
NAU
2 - 1
ABC
53%
26%
22%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2014 |
ABC
2 - 1
AVA
32%
27%
42%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
OES
1 - 0
ABC
43%
28%
29%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2014 |
CRZ
1 - 0
ABC
81%
14%
6%
|
63 | 88 | 25 | 0 |
Matches
Luverdense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
LUV
0 - 2
PAR
36%
27%
37%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2014 |
LUV
2 - 1
ARN
34%
27%
39%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2014 |
ICA
1 - 0
LUV
44%
27%
29%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2014 |
LUV
0 - 1
SAM
44%
27%
29%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2014 |
BOA
2 - 1
LUV
52%
26%
22%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | -1 |