ABC vs Londrina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
21%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
5%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14.4%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
10.1%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
26.5%
52.5%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
14.8%
1-2
9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.8%
0-2
10.9%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.1%
0-3
5.4%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
7.2%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ABC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2017 |
NAU
1 - 2
ABC
61%
23%
16%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2017 |
GUA
1 - 1
ABC
54%
26%
21%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2017 |
ABC
1 - 0
BOA
32%
29%
38%
|
54 | 63 | 9 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2017 |
CRB
1 - 0
ABC
65%
22%
14%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2017 |
ABC
0 - 1
GOI
24%
26%
50%
|
55 | 67 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Londrina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2017 |
LON
2 - 0
PAY
56%
25%
19%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2017 |
LON
1 - 0
FFL
55%
25%
19%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 2017 |
JUV
0 - 2
LON
30%
29%
41%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2017 |
CRI
2 - 1
LON
43%
27%
31%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2017 |
LON
0 - 0
ATM
25%
26%
49%
|
70 | 84 | 14 | 0 |