ABC vs Botafogo PB analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.5%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.6%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
27.9%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ABC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Aug. 2016 |
SAL
1 - 0
ABC
39%
29%
32%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2016 |
ABC
1 - 0
ARN
49%
25%
26%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2016 |
ASA
2 - 1
ABC
40%
28%
32%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | -1 |
| 10 Jul. 2016 |
ABC
2 - 1
CUI
58%
25%
17%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 Jul. 2016 |
ABC
4 - 0
RIV
70%
19%
11%
|
60 | 49 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Botafogo PB
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul. 2016 |
CUI
2 - 0
BOT
31%
29%
41%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2016 |
BOT
2 - 0
SAL
56%
25%
19%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Jul. 2016 |
CEA
0 - 0
BOT
57%
23%
20%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2016 |
FOR
1 - 0
BOT
61%
23%
17%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | -1 |
| 14 Jul. 2016 |
BOT
3 - 0
CEA
28%
24%
48%
|
61 | 70 | 9 | +2 |