ABC vs Alecrim analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
76.9%
Win probability
2.41
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.2%
4-0
6.7%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.1%
3-0
11.2%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.1%
2-0
13.9%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
15.3%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
15.3%
7.8%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.9%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ABC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
POT
3 - 2
ABC
19%
24%
58%
|
59 | 44 | 15 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2017 |
ABC
2 - 1
BAR
72%
18%
10%
|
58 | 46 | 12 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
ABC
2 - 1
ASS
72%
18%
10%
|
58 | 45 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2017 |
GLO
0 - 1
ABC
30%
26%
44%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2017 |
SAN
0 - 3
ABC
14%
22%
64%
|
58 | 38 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Alecrim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2017 |
ALE
0 - 1
SAN
50%
23%
27%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2017 |
ALE
1 - 2
ARN
23%
25%
52%
|
40 | 53 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2017 |
POT
0 - 0
ALE
54%
24%
23%
|
40 | 45 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
ASS
2 - 1
ALE
51%
24%
25%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 2017 |
ALE
1 - 3
GLO
30%
26%
44%
|
42 | 51 | 9 | -1 |