Copa Brasil Sub 17 Final Stages Last 16
Global 2-8
ABC U17 vs Ceará U17 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
8.8%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
0.9%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
2%
1-0
2%
2-1
2.6%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
6.1%
13.2%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
13.2%
78%
Win probability
2.9
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.6%
0-2
9.4%
1-3
8.2%
2-4
2.7%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
20.8%
0-3
9%
1-4
5.9%
2-5
1.6%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
16.8%
0-4
6.6%
1-5
3.4%
2-6
0.8%
3-7
0.1%
-4
10.8%
0-5
3.8%
1-6
1.7%
2-7
0.3%
3-8
0%
-5
5.8%
0-6
1.8%
1-7
0.7%
2-8
0.1%
3-9
0%
-6
2.6%
0-7
0.8%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
1%
0-8
0.3%
1-9
0.1%
2-10
0%
-8
0.4%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ABC U17
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2023 |
VIC
0 - 0
ABC
79%
13%
7%
|
9 | 24 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Ceará U17
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2023 |
CEA
2 - 1
CAR
79%
13%
7%
|
24 | 9 | 15 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2022 |
FLU
4 - 2
CEA
87%
10%
3%
|
25 | 52 | 27 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
CEA
0 - 2
CRU
16%
17%
67%
|
26 | 40 | 14 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2022 |
FOR
1 - 0
CEA
48%
21%
31%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2022 |
CEA
1 - 4
VAS
10%
19%
71%
|
28 | 50 | 22 | -2 |