Rafalafena vs Seq. Castello A analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.9%
Win probability
2.48
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.4%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.5%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.6%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.7%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.8%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
17.4%
14.7%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rafalafena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
SEM
1 - 3
RAF
26%
22%
52%
|
21 | 16 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
COS
0 - 7
RAF
9%
15%
76%
|
21 | 7 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
GRA
1 - 3
RAF
12%
17%
71%
|
21 | 11 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
RAF
1 - 2
SLA
70%
16%
14%
|
22 | 17 | 5 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
CAS
1 - 1
RAF
15%
18%
67%
|
22 | 13 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Seq. Castello A
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
ATL
1 - 1
SLA
46%
22%
32%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
CAS
1 - 1
ATL
26%
22%
52%
|
18 | 13 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
ATL
0 - 5
EST
42%
23%
35%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
ORP
1 - 3
ATL
12%
18%
70%
|
19 | 9 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
ATL
2 - 0
DRA
70%
17%
13%
|
19 | 14 | 5 | 0 |