Aarup vs Svendborg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.8%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.5%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.8%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
43.5%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
9%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.1%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aarup
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
SKI
4 - 0
AAR
63%
19%
18%
|
41 | 47 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2011 |
AAR
0 - 3
FYN
22%
22%
56%
|
41 | 57 | 16 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
LFA
2 - 0
AAR
61%
22%
18%
|
42 | 52 | 10 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2011 |
AAR
1 - 1
BRA
44%
25%
31%
|
42 | 48 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
VIB
1 - 1
AAR
34%
23%
43%
|
42 | 35 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Svendborg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
SVE
2 - 1
OTB
62%
20%
18%
|
48 | 41 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
SVE
2 - 4
KJE
70%
18%
12%
|
50 | 40 | 10 | -2 |
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
THI
0 - 0
SVE
61%
21%
18%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
SVE
2 - 1
VAR
60%
21%
19%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
NAS
2 - 0
SVE
52%
24%
24%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | -1 |