Aarhus Fremad vs Varde analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.9%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.3%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.9%
18.2%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aarhus Fremad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2010 |
DJU
1 - 2
AAF
23%
24%
54%
|
57 | 44 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2010 |
AAF
2 - 2
NAS
70%
19%
11%
|
58 | 44 | 14 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2010 |
HOL
0 - 3
AAF
26%
24%
50%
|
57 | 45 | 12 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2010 |
AAF
2 - 0
LIF
78%
15%
7%
|
57 | 39 | 18 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2010 |
B19
2 - 1
AAF
26%
24%
49%
|
58 | 47 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Varde
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2010 |
VAR
3 - 2
MID
49%
23%
28%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2010 |
RIS
2 - 1
VAR
42%
24%
35%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2010 |
VAR
0 - 1
THI
42%
25%
33%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2010 |
TJO
0 - 1
VAR
19%
22%
59%
|
51 | 34 | 17 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2010 |
VAR
4 - 2
BIF
12%
20%
68%
|
49 | 83 | 34 | +2 |