Aarhus Fremad vs Skjold analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.6%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.8%
2-0
9%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.7%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
22.5%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aarhus Fremad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2003 |
SON
3 - 2
AAF
68%
18%
14%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2003 |
AAF
1 - 0
BOL
56%
22%
21%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2003 |
OLS
1 - 4
AAF
58%
22%
21%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2003 |
FRE
3 - 0
AAF
58%
23%
20%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 2003 |
AAF
2 - 1
ACH
52%
25%
23%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Skjold
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2003 |
SKJ
1 - 4
FRE
41%
26%
34%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2003 |
ACH
2 - 0
SKJ
55%
23%
22%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2003 |
SKJ
0 - 1
HER
22%
23%
55%
|
58 | 72 | 14 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2003 |
B93
1 - 2
SKJ
51%
24%
25%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 2003 |
SKJ
1 - 2
HVI
55%
22%
23%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | -1 |