Aarhus Fremad vs Randers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
15%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
3.7%
1-0
4%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
10%
19%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19%
66%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.2%
0-2
10.2%
1-3
7.3%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
19.8%
0-3
7.6%
1-4
4.1%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.6%
0-4
4.2%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
6.4%
0-5
1.9%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.6%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aarhus Fremad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2020 |
OFA
1 - 4
AAF
16%
21%
63%
|
56 | 41 | 15 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2020 |
AAF
1 - 1
JAM
42%
25%
34%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2020 |
AAF
1 - 2
B93
55%
23%
23%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 2020 |
BRA
1 - 1
AAF
33%
26%
41%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2020 |
HOL
3 - 0
AAF
18%
24%
58%
|
58 | 42 | 16 | -1 |
Matches
Randers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2020 |
RAN
1 - 2
AAB
30%
26%
44%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2020 |
VEJ
0 - 3
RAN
46%
25%
30%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2020 |
RAN
1 - 2
SON
35%
26%
39%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2020 |
FCN
1 - 0
RAN
51%
23%
26%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2020 |
SYD
1 - 4
RAN
5%
12%
83%
|
72 | 41 | 31 | 0 |