Aarhus Fremad vs Næstved analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.4%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.7%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.4%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
26%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-33%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aarhus Fremad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2021 |
HIL
1 - 0
AAF
25%
24%
51%
|
57 | 49 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2021 |
KJE
2 - 1
AAF
11%
17%
73%
|
57 | 33 | 24 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
AAF
1 - 1
SKI
60%
21%
18%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2021 |
BRA
2 - 1
AAF
30%
25%
45%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 2021 |
KOL
0 - 3
AAF
41%
25%
35%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Næstved
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 2021 |
NAE
2 - 1
AKA
29%
26%
45%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2021 |
B93
1 - 2
NAE
55%
23%
22%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 2021 |
HEL
2 - 2
NAE
45%
25%
30%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 2021 |
NAE
1 - 0
HIL
48%
25%
27%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2021 |
NAE
1 - 0
KOL
26%
26%
48%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | +1 |