Denmark Third Division Relegation Round Round 3

Aarhus Fremad vs Næsby BK analysis

Aarhus Fremad Næsby BK
48 ELO 41
-1.7% Tilt 1.7%
1498º General ELO ranking 3503º
22º Country ELO ranking 40º
ELO win probability
57.7%
Aarhus Fremad
22%
Draw
20.3%
Næsby BK

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.7%
Win probability
Aarhus Fremad
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.8%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
22%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
20.3%
Win probability
Næsby BK
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Aarhus Fremad
+11%
-6%
Næsby BK

ELO progression

Aarhus Fremad
Næsby BK
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Aarhus Fremad
Aarhus Fremad
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
24 Mar. 2018
GRE
Greve IF
0 - 1
Aarhus Fremad
AAF
45%
24%
31%
47 46 1 0
17 Mar. 2018
AAF
Aarhus Fremad
1 - 2
Akademisk Boldklub
AKA
29%
25%
46%
48 53 5 -1
13 Jan. 2018
AGF
AGF Aarhus
4 - 0
Aarhus Fremad
AAF
82%
13%
5%
47 75 28 +1
04 Nov. 2017
SYD
Sydvest
3 - 1
Aarhus Fremad
AAF
55%
22%
23%
48 51 3 -1
28 Oct. 2017
AAF
Aarhus Fremad
0 - 2
Jammerbugt
JAM
32%
25%
43%
49 54 5 -1

Matches

Næsby BK
Næsby BK
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
24 Mar. 2018
NAS
Næsby BK
2 - 2
B93
B93
16%
21%
63%
41 56 15 0
17 Mar. 2018
NAS
Næsby BK
3 - 1
Brønshøj
BRØ
24%
23%
53%
38 49 11 +3
04 Nov. 2017
NAS
Næsby BK
1 - 4
Dalum
DAL
33%
25%
42%
40 47 7 -2
28 Oct. 2017
MID
Middelfart
4 - 0
Næsby BK
NAS
77%
15%
9%
41 55 14 -1
21 Oct. 2017
NAS
Næsby BK
2 - 3
Hellerup IK
HEL
27%
24%
49%
41 50 9 0