Aarhus Fremad vs Holbæk B&I analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73.7%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.8%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.4%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.1%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
16.3%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.3%
10%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.2%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+34%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aarhus Fremad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2021 |
AAF
1 - 1
NAS
75%
16%
10%
|
56 | 40 | 16 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2021 |
SYD
1 - 1
AAF
18%
23%
59%
|
57 | 44 | 13 | -1 |
| 07 Feb. 2021 |
ESB
2 - 0
AAF
59%
21%
20%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | +1 |
| 30 Jan. 2021 |
VFF
4 - 2
AAF
67%
19%
15%
|
56 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2021 |
VEJ
3 - 1
AAF
67%
19%
15%
|
56 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Holbæk B&I
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2021 |
HOL
0 - 2
SKI
38%
25%
38%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2021 |
B93
6 - 2
HOL
70%
17%
12%
|
44 | 54 | 10 | -2 |
| 06 Feb. 2021 |
HOL
2 - 3
SLA
81%
12%
6%
|
44 | 19 | 25 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2021 |
HVI
3 - 1
HOL
75%
16%
9%
|
44 | 58 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2021 |
HOL
2 - 1
KFU
56%
22%
22%
|
44 | 40 | 4 | 0 |