Aarhus Fremad vs Hellerup IK analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.4%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.1%
2-0
12%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.6%
11.4%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
41
2º
6º
3º
21
9º
12º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
59 | 59 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
44 | 44 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
41 | 41 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
41 | 41 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
33 | 33 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
24 | 24 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
23 | 23 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
23 | 23 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
|
9º
|
21 | 21 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
18 | 18 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
17 | 17 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
17 | 17 |
12º
|
0% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aarhus Fremad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
AAF
1 - 2
MID
51%
24%
25%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
BFR
1 - 1
AAF
20%
22%
58%
|
61 | 51 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
AAF
2 - 4
ESB
41%
25%
34%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
AAF
1 - 1
AKA
62%
21%
17%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
HEL
3 - 3
AAF
13%
19%
68%
|
62 | 46 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Hellerup IK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2023 |
HEL
3 - 1
BFR
30%
23%
47%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
THI
0 - 1
HEL
56%
23%
21%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
HEL
1 - 2
MID
20%
24%
56%
|
46 | 59 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
ESB
7 - 0
HEL
75%
16%
9%
|
47 | 62 | 15 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
HEL
3 - 3
AAF
13%
19%
68%
|
46 | 62 | 16 | +1 |