Denmark Third Division Western Round 10

Aarhus Fremad vs Brabrand analysis

Aarhus Fremad Brabrand
57 ELO 48
7.6% Tilt 15.7%
1501º General ELO ranking 3378º
22º Country ELO ranking 38º
ELO win probability
70.1%
Aarhus Fremad
18.6%
Draw
11.3%
Brabrand

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.1%
Win probability
Aarhus Fremad
2.14
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.7%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.5%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.3%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.6%
11.3%
Win probability
Brabrand
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Aarhus Fremad
-1%
+36%
Brabrand

ELO progression

Aarhus Fremad
Brabrand
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Aarhus Fremad
Aarhus Fremad
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
29 Sep. 2012
KJE
Kjellerup
0 - 5
Aarhus Fremad
AAF
15%
21%
64%
57 38 19 0
25 Sep. 2012
AAF
Aarhus Fremad
0 - 3
AGF Aarhus
AGF
21%
22%
57%
58 75 17 -1
22 Sep. 2012
AAF
Aarhus Fremad
2 - 0
BSV Søllerød
SOL
61%
22%
18%
57 51 6 +1
16 Sep. 2012
THI
Thisted
0 - 3
Aarhus Fremad
AAF
35%
24%
41%
56 49 7 +1
09 Sep. 2012
SVE
Svendborg
0 - 0
Aarhus Fremad
AAF
26%
24%
50%
56 47 9 0

Matches

Brabrand
Brabrand
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
29 Sep. 2012
BRA
Brabrand
1 - 1
Otterup
OTB
50%
25%
26%
47 41 6 0
22 Sep. 2012
SKA
Skanderborg
2 - 0
Brabrand
BRA
57%
22%
21%
48 50 2 -1
15 Sep. 2012
BRA
Brabrand
2 - 1
Varde
VAR
41%
27%
33%
48 48 0 0
08 Sep. 2012
SKI
VSK Aarhus
2 - 2
Brabrand
BRA
42%
25%
33%
48 41 7 0
01 Sep. 2012
BRA
Brabrand
4 - 0
Sydvest
SYD
52%
24%
24%
47 41 6 +1