Aarhus Fremad vs AGF Aarhus II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.2%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.6%
15.4%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aarhus Fremad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2009 |
NAS
7 - 1
AAF
30%
25%
46%
|
51 | 43 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2009 |
AAF
3 - 1
OTB
60%
21%
19%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2009 |
AAF
3 - 4
BRA
49%
24%
27%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2009 |
SVE
6 - 2
AAF
35%
25%
40%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | -2 |
| 12 Sep. 2009 |
AAF
6 - 1
HOB
36%
26%
39%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | +2 |
Matches
AGF Aarhus II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2009 |
AGF
3 - 4
OTB
47%
23%
30%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2009 |
HOB
5 - 3
AGF
72%
17%
11%
|
42 | 54 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2009 |
AGF
1 - 0
AAL
36%
24%
40%
|
40 | 49 | 9 | +2 |
| 12 Sep. 2009 |
TJO
3 - 0
AGF
39%
25%
37%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | -2 |
| 05 Sep. 2009 |
AGF
2 - 1
JAM
28%
23%
49%
|
41 | 53 | 12 | +1 |