Aarhus Fremad vs Aalborg BK analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
25.8%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.3%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.6%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
50.3%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.1%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.3%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.6%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-18%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
5
5º
12º
8º
5
2º
9º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
12 | 37 |
1º
|
30% | |
|
|
9º
|
5 | 36 |
2º
|
14.5% | |
|
1º
|
14 | 36 |
3º
|
11% | |
|
4º
|
10 | 35 |
4º
|
14.5% | |
|
3º
|
10 | 35 |
5º
|
13% | |
|
5º
|
10 | 35 |
6º
|
12.5% | |
|
6º
|
9 | 31 |
7º
|
12% | |
|
|
10º
|
5 | 27 |
8º
|
19.5% | |
|
7º
|
8 | 26 |
9º
|
14% | |
|
8º
|
7 | 23 |
10º
|
22.5% | |
|
11º
|
5 | 21 |
11º
|
19.5% | |
|
12º
|
3 | 20 |
12º
|
31.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
20% | 77.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
80% | 22.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aarhus Fremad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2025 |
AAF
2 - 2
KOL
31%
26%
43%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2025 |
HVI
2 - 0
AAF
43%
26%
31%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | -1 |
| 09 Aug. 2025 |
AAF
3 - 1
HIL
33%
26%
41%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | +1 |
| 05 Aug. 2025 |
SHI
0 - 3
AAF
3%
7%
91%
|
72 | 9 | 63 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2025 |
AAF
0 - 2
LYN
38%
26%
36%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Aalborg BK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2025 |
ESB
1 - 0
AAB
30%
24%
46%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2025 |
AAB
0 - 2
ACH
58%
23%
20%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | -1 |
| 10 Aug. 2025 |
HBK
0 - 2
AAB
18%
22%
59%
|
79 | 65 | 14 | +1 |
| 06 Aug. 2025 |
VEN
1 - 2
AAB
14%
19%
67%
|
79 | 66 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2025 |
AAB
1 - 1
HOB
68%
19%
13%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | 0 |