Denmark Series Ronda Descenso round 11

Aarhus Fremad II vs Viby analysis

Aarhus Fremad II Viby
40 ELO 36
2.4% Tilt 1.5%
20144º General ELO ranking 18621º
214º Country ELO ranking 167º
ELO win probability
55%
Aarhus Fremad II
19.9%
Draw
25.1%
Viby

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55%
Win probability
Aarhus Fremad II
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.9%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.3%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
5.1%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.9%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.9%
25.1%
Win probability
Viby
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
3%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Aarhus Fremad II
-40%
-31%
Viby

Points and table prediction

Aarhus Fremad II
Their league position
Viby
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
65
54
20º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Aarhus Fremad II
65
37
100%
OKS
59
34
90%
B 1908
13º
43
30
90%
Hedensted
52
28
45.5%
Viby
54
27
32%
Greve IF
53
27
25.5%
Skjold
51
26
68.5%
Varde IF Elite
12º
43
25
37%
Ledøje-Smørum Fodbold
10º
48
25
11.5%
Vaerebro BK 1968
15º
41
23
10º
65%
Kjellerup
22º
32
23
11º
37%
Tarup-Paarup
53
21
12º
31%
Tårnby FF
11º
47
19
13º
12%
KFUM Roskilde
17º
40
19
14º
16.5%
Allerød
14º
42
19
15º
10%
Aalborg BK II
52
19
16º
10.5%
Herstedøster
28º
26
18
17º
7.5%
Herlev
20º
34
18
18º
20%
Karlslunde
51
18
19º
10.5%
Djursland
31º
21
16
20º
28%
Næstved II
16º
41
16
21º
12%
Boldklubben 1909
18º
36
15
22º
25%
KFUM
27º
29
15
23º
32.5%
Brabrand II
26º
29
14
24º
30%
Gorslev
24º
30
13
25º
16.5%
Nörresundby FB
21º
34
13
26º
24.5%
B 1913
23º
31
13
27º
17.5%
VRI
25º
30
12
28º
45.5%
Slagelse B&I
19º
36
12
29º
39%
GVI
30º
24
10
30º
75%
ASA Aarhus
29º
24
7
31º
78.5%
Otterup
32º
14
7
32º
84%
Expected probabilities
Aarhus Fremad II
Viby
Mid-table
100% 87.5%
Relegation
0% 12.5%

ELO progression

Aarhus Fremad II
Viby
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Aarhus Fremad II
Aarhus Fremad II
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
20 May. 2023
AAR
Aarhus Fremad II
3 - 1
Djursland
DJU
84%
11%
5%
39 20 19 0
13 May. 2023
AAR
Aarhus Fremad II
4 - 0
ASA Aarhus
ASA
87%
9%
4%
39 20 19 0
06 May. 2023
AAR
Aarhus Fremad II
6 - 0
Kjellerup
KJE
80%
13%
7%
39 21 18 0
29 Apr. 2023
AAR
Aarhus Fremad II
3 - 0
VRI
VRI
83%
12%
6%
39 22 17 0
22 Apr. 2023
AAR
Aarhus Fremad II
6 - 2
Aalborg BK II
AAB
49%
22%
29%
38 37 1 +1

Matches

Viby
Viby
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
18 May. 2023
VIB
Viby
3 - 2
VRI
VRI
79%
13%
8%
37 25 12 0
13 May. 2023
DJU
Djursland
0 - 0
Viby
VIB
10%
15%
75%
37 18 19 0
06 May. 2023
VIB
Viby
2 - 2
Aalborg BK II
AAB
54%
20%
26%
38 36 2 -1
29 Apr. 2023
ASA
ASA Aarhus
0 - 2
Viby
VIB
11%
16%
73%
37 21 16 +1
22 Apr. 2023
VIB
Viby
1 - 1
Nörresundby FB
NOR
77%
14%
10%
38 25 13 -1