Aarhus Fremad II vs Varde analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.7%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
7%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.5%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.7%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
30.9%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aarhus Fremad II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2013 |
HJO
1 - 3
AAR
36%
24%
40%
|
36 | 28 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2013 |
AAR
2 - 0
LIF
29%
25%
47%
|
33 | 41 | 8 | +3 |
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
AAR
2 - 1
VRI
70%
18%
13%
|
33 | 24 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2013 |
AAR
2 - 2
VEJ
54%
22%
25%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 Jun. 2012 |
AAR
2 - 3
RAN
23%
24%
54%
|
35 | 47 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Varde
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
VAR
3 - 0
HOB
42%
23%
35%
|
36 | 40 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2013 |
RAN
2 - 2
VAR
72%
17%
11%
|
35 | 46 | 11 | +1 |
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
VAR
1 - 1
55%
21%
24%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2013 |
IFL
1 - 0
VAR
59%
21%
21%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | -1 |
| 23 Jun. 2013 |
VAR
1 - 1
BRA
26%
25%
49%
|
36 | 50 | 14 | 0 |