Denmark Series round 22

Aarhus Fremad II vs Varde IF Elite analysis

Aarhus Fremad II Varde IF Elite
36 ELO 39
3.4% Tilt 4.3%
20150º General ELO ranking 22648º
214º Country ELO ranking 216º
ELO win probability
42.2%
Aarhus Fremad II
21.9%
Draw
35.9%
Varde IF Elite

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.2%
Win probability
Aarhus Fremad II
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
3%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
12.6%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.3%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.9%
35.9%
Win probability
Varde IF Elite
1.72
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Aarhus Fremad II
-43%
-32%
Varde IF Elite

ELO progression

Aarhus Fremad II
Varde IF Elite
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Aarhus Fremad II
Aarhus Fremad II
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
04 May. 2018
KOL
Kolding BK B
4 - 2
Aarhus Fremad II
AAR
58%
20%
22%
37 39 2 0
28 Apr. 2018
AAR
Aarhus Fremad II
2 - 0
SfB-Oure
OFA
15%
20%
66%
32 48 16 +5
21 Apr. 2018
BOL
B 1913
1 - 1
Aarhus Fremad II
AAR
57%
20%
23%
33 33 0 -1
14 Apr. 2018
SON
Sønderborg
0 - 2
Aarhus Fremad II
AAR
41%
23%
36%
30 27 3 +3
07 Apr. 2018
AAR
Aarhus Fremad II
2 - 2
Esbjerg II
ESB
66%
18%
16%
31 24 7 -1

Matches

Varde IF Elite
Varde IF Elite
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
09 May. 2018
VAR
Varde IF Elite
5 - 0
Esbjerg II
ESB
82%
11%
6%
38 22 16 0
30 Apr. 2018
KOL
Kolding BK B
3 - 1
Varde IF Elite
VAR
46%
21%
33%
40 37 3 -2
21 Apr. 2018
VAR
Varde IF Elite
2 - 0
VSK Aarhus II
AAR
72%
16%
12%
40 30 10 0
14 Apr. 2018
VAR
Varde IF Elite
2 - 1
SfB-Oure
OFA
16%
20%
64%
37 50 13 +3
07 Apr. 2018
B19
Boldklubben 1909
2 - 3
Varde IF Elite
VAR
43%
22%
35%
36 31 5 +1