Aarhus Fremad II vs Varde IF Elite analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.5%
Win probability
2.63
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.8%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.9%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.4%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21%
16.7%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
16.7%
14.9%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-43%
-32%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aarhus Fremad II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2017 |
KOL
0 - 0
AAR
57%
21%
22%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2017 |
AAR
1 - 1
OFA
23%
22%
55%
|
36 | 47 | 11 | +1 |
| 05 Aug. 2017 |
BOL
1 - 2
AAR
38%
24%
38%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2017 |
HOL
0 - 3
AAR
72%
16%
12%
|
33 | 40 | 7 | +3 |
| 10 Jun. 2017 |
AAR
2 - 3
IFL
25%
25%
50%
|
34 | 45 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Varde IF Elite
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2017 |
VAR
1 - 0
ESB
41%
22%
37%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2017 |
KOL
0 - 0
VAR
76%
14%
10%
|
30 | 39 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2017 |
VAR
1 - 1
AAR
29%
21%
50%
|
29 | 37 | 8 | +1 |
| 30 Aug. 2016 |
VAR
1 - 2
JAM
13%
17%
71%
|
29 | 47 | 18 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2016 |
VAR
1 - 0
MAR
71%
17%
13%
|
29 | 20 | 9 | 0 |