Denmark Series Grupo 3 round 16

Aarhus Fremad II vs Marienlyst analysis

Aarhus Fremad II Marienlyst
40 ELO 48
2.5% Tilt -0.6%
20144º General ELO ranking 5315º
214º Country ELO ranking 60º
ELO win probability
22.1%
Aarhus Fremad II
22.5%
Draw
55.4%
Marienlyst

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.1%
Win probability
Aarhus Fremad II
1.1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.9%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.9%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.8%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
55.4%
Win probability
Marienlyst
1.88
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.5%
0-2
8.9%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17%
0-3
5.6%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.2%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.9%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Aarhus Fremad II
-49%
-17%
Marienlyst

ELO progression

Aarhus Fremad II
Marienlyst
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Aarhus Fremad II
Aarhus Fremad II
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
23 Mar. 2024
OKS
OKS
3 - 1
Aarhus Fremad II
AAR
40%
23%
38%
40 37 3 0
10 Nov. 2023
AAR
Aarhus Fremad II
0 - 0
Dalum
DAL
71%
16%
13%
40 31 9 0
04 Nov. 2023
FJO
Fjordager
0 - 3
Aarhus Fremad II
AAR
15%
17%
68%
40 20 20 0
28 Oct. 2023
AAR
Aarhus Fremad II
5 - 2
Hedensted
HED
59%
20%
21%
39 35 4 +1
21 Oct. 2023
B19
Boldklubben 1909
1 - 2
Aarhus Fremad II
AAR
30%
23%
48%
38 31 7 +1

Matches

Marienlyst
Marienlyst
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
22 Mar. 2024
MAR
Marienlyst
2 - 2
AC Horsens II
HFS
62%
20%
18%
48 39 9 0
10 Feb. 2024
MAR
Marienlyst
0 - 1
SfB-Oure
OFA
52%
21%
27%
48 43 5 0
03 Feb. 2024
MAR
Marienlyst
3 - 4
Næsby BK
NAS
47%
23%
30%
48 47 1 0
23 Jan. 2024
MID
Middelfart
0 - 1
Marienlyst
MAR
63%
20%
17%
48 60 12 0
11 Nov. 2023
MAR
Marienlyst
0 - 1
B 1913
BOL
83%
12%
5%
48 29 19 0