Denmark Fourth Division Round 20

Aarhus Fremad II vs Aalborg Freja analysis

Aarhus Fremad II Aalborg Freja
29 ELO 24
2.5% Tilt 1.3%
22491º General ELO ranking 31589º
253º Country ELO ranking 340º
ELO win probability
60.1%
Aarhus Fremad II
20.9%
Draw
19.1%
Aalborg Freja

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.1%
Win probability
Aarhus Fremad II
2.05
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.7%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.9%
19%
Win probability
Aalborg Freja
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Aarhus Fremad II
-38%
-11%
Aalborg Freja

ELO progression

Aarhus Fremad II
Aalborg Freja
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Aarhus Fremad II
Aarhus Fremad II
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
30 Apr. 2016
VEJ
Vejgaard B
1 - 1
Aarhus Fremad II
AAR
75%
15%
10%
28 42 14 0
23 Apr. 2016
AAR
Aarhus Fremad II
2 - 1
44%
22%
34%
27 29 2 +1
16 Apr. 2016
AAB
Aabyhøj IF
1 - 2
Aarhus Fremad II
AAR
25%
21%
55%
27 18 9 0
09 Apr. 2016
AAR
Aarhus Fremad II
2 - 0
Kjellerup
KJE
22%
22%
56%
24 36 12 +3
03 Apr. 2016
AAR
Aarhus Fremad II
2 - 3
Aalborg BK II
AAB
34%
24%
42%
25 30 5 -1

Matches

Aalborg Freja
Aalborg Freja
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
30 Apr. 2016
AAL
Aalborg Freja
0 - 1
Skanderborg
SKA
30%
23%
48%
25 32 7 0
23 Apr. 2016
LYS
Lystrup
3 - 0
Aalborg Freja
AAL
62%
19%
20%
26 31 5 -1
16 Apr. 2016
AAL
Aalborg Freja
1 - 1
IF Lyseng
IFL
37%
24%
40%
26 31 5 0
09 Apr. 2016
RAN
Randers Freja
1 - 2
Aalborg Freja
AAL
69%
17%
14%
25 30 5 +1
02 Apr. 2016
AAL
Aalborg Freja
2 - 2
Nörresundby FB
NOR
34%
22%
44%
25 31 6 0