Denmark Fourth Division Round 12

Aarhus Fremad II vs Aalborg BK II analysis

Aarhus Fremad II Aalborg BK II
35 ELO 36
-0.5% Tilt -2.9%
22180º General ELO ranking 22175º
254º Country ELO ranking 249º
ELO win probability
49.3%
Aarhus Fremad II
23.5%
Draw
27.2%
Aalborg BK II

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.3%
Win probability
Aarhus Fremad II
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.5%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
27.2%
Win probability
Aalborg BK II
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Aarhus Fremad II
-48%
-60%
Aalborg BK II

ELO progression

Aarhus Fremad II
Aalborg BK II
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Aarhus Fremad II
Aarhus Fremad II
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
19 Oct. 2013
HED
Hedensted
3 - 1
Aarhus Fremad II
AAR
44%
24%
32%
37 34 3 0
12 Oct. 2013
KJE
Kjellerup
2 - 2
Aarhus Fremad II
AAR
55%
23%
22%
37 39 2 0
06 Oct. 2013
AAR
Aarhus Fremad II
4 - 2
Hobro II
HOB
49%
23%
28%
36 35 1 +1
28 Sep. 2013
RAN
Randers Freja
2 - 2
Aarhus Fremad II
AAR
74%
16%
10%
35 47 12 +1
22 Sep. 2013
AAR
Aarhus Fremad II
0 - 3
51%
23%
27%
37 36 1 -2

Matches

Aalborg BK II
Aalborg BK II
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
20 Oct. 2013
AAB
Aalborg BK II
0 - 1
Hobro II
HOB
57%
20%
22%
36 33 3 0
12 Oct. 2013
RAN
Randers Freja
0 - 3
Aalborg BK II
AAB
76%
15%
9%
33 47 14 +3
05 Oct. 2013
AAB
Aalborg BK II
1 - 3
48%
23%
30%
35 38 3 -2
28 Sep. 2013
IFL
IF Lyseng
3 - 2
Aalborg BK II
AAB
58%
21%
21%
36 39 3 -1
22 Sep. 2013
AAB
Aalborg BK II
1 - 3
Varde
VAR
52%
23%
26%
37 37 0 -1