Aalborg BK vs AGF Aarhus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.5%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.2%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
31.1%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8.5%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
-15%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
15
9º
12º
12º
35
2º
10º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
43 | 43 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
42 | 42 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
37 | 37 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
35 | 35 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
32 | 32 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
30 | 30 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
29 | 29 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
28 | 28 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
28 | 28 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
23 | 23 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
16 | 16 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
15 | 15 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aalborg BK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
VEN
2 - 2
AAB
13%
18%
68%
|
73 | 60 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2023 |
SOG
3 - 5
AAB
21%
22%
57%
|
73 | 61 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2023 |
AAB
1 - 2
SIR
44%
25%
31%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2023 |
VFF
2 - 1
AAB
56%
22%
23%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2023 |
ACH
2 - 2
AAB
38%
24%
38%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
AGF Aarhus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2023 |
HÄC
3 - 1
AGF
73%
17%
11%
|
72 | 82 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2023 |
MFF
4 - 3
AGF
63%
21%
16%
|
72 | 82 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2023 |
FCK
0 - 0
AGF
65%
20%
15%
|
72 | 84 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2023 |
SHA
1 - 3
AGF
54%
23%
23%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
AGF
1 - 1
VIF
31%
25%
44%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | 0 |