Aalborg BK vs AGF Aarhus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.5%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.5%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.1%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.5%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
20.5%
12.9%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aalborg BK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Aug. 2007 |
MID
2 - 1
AAB
47%
25%
28%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2007 |
ACH
1 - 1
AAB
25%
26%
49%
|
79 | 66 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2007 |
RAN
5 - 0
AAB
34%
27%
40%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | -1 |
| 29 Jul. 2007 |
AAB
2 - 1
GEN
48%
25%
27%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2007 |
AAB
1 - 1
FCK
39%
27%
33%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
AGF Aarhus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 2007 |
AGF
0 - 1
FCK
23%
26%
51%
|
64 | 85 | 21 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2007 |
ESB
2 - 2
AGF
68%
19%
13%
|
64 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2007 |
AGF
0 - 2
OBK
27%
26%
47%
|
64 | 81 | 17 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2007 |
AGF
1 - 2
ACH
60%
23%
18%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 Jun. 2007 |
AGF
1 - 3
HEL
77%
16%
8%
|
66 | 53 | 13 | -1 |