Aalborg BK II vs Aarhus Fremad II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.4%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.7%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.8%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
35.2%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.6%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-35%
-53%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
36
2º
6º
3º
28
3º
6º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
45 | 45 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
40 | 40 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
36 | 36 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
30 | 30 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
28 | 28 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
21 | 21 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
18 | 18 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
17 | 17 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
12 | 12 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
5 | 5 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aalborg BK II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
ODD
3 - 1
AAB
60%
20%
20%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
AAB
3 - 1
DJU
78%
13%
9%
|
33 | 23 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
VIB
1 - 2
AAB
61%
19%
20%
|
31 | 37 | 6 | +2 |
| 17 Aug. 2022 |
AAB
3 - 0
NOR
76%
14%
10%
|
31 | 22 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
AAB
1 - 1
ASA
72%
15%
13%
|
31 | 26 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Aarhus Fremad II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2022 |
VEJ
2 - 1
AAR
60%
20%
20%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
AAR
2 - 0
VRI
73%
16%
11%
|
37 | 26 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
AAR
5 - 0
KJE
64%
19%
17%
|
36 | 27 | 9 | +1 |
| 17 Aug. 2022 |
ASA
1 - 1
AAR
23%
20%
57%
|
36 | 26 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
ODD
1 - 0
AAR
51%
22%
28%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | -1 |