AA Iguaçu vs Patriotas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.2%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.4%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.4%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.5%
21.3%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+40%
+1416%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AA Iguaçu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2024 |
ACP
4 - 1
IGU
45%
22%
33%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
IGU
1 - 2
APU
43%
23%
34%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 Jul. 2023 |
CAB
3 - 1
IGU
36%
24%
40%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | -1 |
| 02 Jul. 2023 |
IGU
1 - 0
CAB
34%
23%
43%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | +1 |
| 25 Jun. 2023 |
AEC
1 - 3
IGU
12%
16%
71%
|
32 | 12 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Patriotas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2024 |
FOZ
1 - 1
PFC
69%
17%
14%
|
18 | 36 | 18 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
PFC
2 - 0
LEC
29%
22%
49%
|
17 | 22 | 5 | +1 |
| 09 Jul. 2023 |
PFC
1 - 2
PST
14%
17%
69%
|
17 | 36 | 19 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2023 |
PST
2 - 3
PFC
69%
18%
13%
|
17 | 37 | 20 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2023 |
PAR
2 - 2
PFC
74%
17%
9%
|
16 | 51 | 35 | +1 |