Sergipano 2 Knock-outs Final

Global 4-3

Guarany SE vs Barra SE analysis

Guarany SE Barra SE
27 ELO 20
-11.9% Tilt -13.6%
9725º General ELO ranking 12785º
410º Country ELO ranking 476º
ELO win probability
56.4%
Guarany SE
21.5%
Draw
22.1%
Barra SE

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.4%
Win probability
Guarany SE
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.7%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.1%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.5%
22.1%
Win probability
Barra SE
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.5%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Guarany SE
+57%
+13%
Barra SE

ELO progression

Guarany SE
Barra SE
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Guarany SE
Guarany SE
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
10 Nov. 2024
ADB
Barra SE
2 - 2
Guarany SE
GUA
26%
22%
52%
27 19 8 0
02 Nov. 2024
GUA
Guarany SE
3 - 1
Rosario Central SE
ROS
63%
20%
17%
27 17 10 0
30 Oct. 2024
ROS
Rosario Central SE
1 - 3
Guarany SE
GUA
27%
22%
51%
26 18 8 +1
26 Oct. 2024
GUA
Guarany SE
3 - 0
Barra SE
ADB
56%
22%
23%
26 19 7 0
23 Oct. 2024
ROS
Rosario Central SE
1 - 3
Guarany SE
GUA
26%
22%
52%
26 17 9 0

Matches

Barra SE
Barra SE
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
10 Nov. 2024
ADB
Barra SE
2 - 2
Guarany SE
GUA
26%
22%
52%
19 27 8 0
03 Nov. 2024
AMP
América de Pedrinhas
0 - 1
Barra SE
ADB
50%
22%
28%
19 21 2 0
30 Oct. 2024
ADB
Barra SE
1 - 1
América de Pedrinhas
AMP
30%
22%
48%
19 21 2 0
26 Oct. 2024
GUA
Guarany SE
3 - 0
Barra SE
ADB
56%
22%
23%
19 26 7 0
23 Oct. 2024
ADB
Barra SE
0 - 2
América de Pedrinhas
AMP
37%
22%
40%
20 20 0 -1