AA. AA. Colspe vs Union Gerena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
12.2%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
3%
1-0
2.5%
2-1
3.5%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
0.1%
+1
8%
15.6%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
15.6%
72.2%
Win probability
2.68
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
9%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
20.9%
0-2
8.7%
1-3
8.1%
2-4
2.8%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
20.2%
0-3
7.8%
1-4
5.4%
2-5
1.5%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
15%
0-4
5.2%
1-5
2.9%
2-6
0.7%
3-7
0.1%
-4
8.9%
0-5
2.8%
1-6
1.3%
2-7
0.3%
3-8
0%
-5
4.4%
0-6
1.3%
1-7
0.5%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.8%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
0.7%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+101%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AA. AA. Colspe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2025 |
COL
1 - 1
AZN
50%
22%
29%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2025 |
CAM
5 - 1
COL
72%
16%
12%
|
7 | 13 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
COL
1 - 3
MAI
23%
20%
58%
|
7 | 13 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2024 |
ALM
2 - 0
COL
65%
17%
18%
|
8 | 12 | 4 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 2024 |
SEV
6 - 0
COL
65%
18%
17%
|
9 | 14 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Union Gerena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2025 |
UGR
0 - 2
SEV
60%
19%
21%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2025 |
UMB
2 - 3
UGR
22%
20%
59%
|
18 | 13 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2025 |
GUI
0 - 1
UGR
16%
18%
66%
|
18 | 11 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2024 |
UGR
4 - 0
ADC
84%
10%
6%
|
17 | 7 | 10 | +1 |
| 13 Dec. 2024 |
HUE
2 - 2
UGR
34%
21%
46%
|
17 | 14 | 3 | 0 |