Portuguesa vs Vasco da Gama analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.6%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.7%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
39.1%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.5%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.4%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portuguesa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2013 |
GRE
3 - 2
POR
61%
23%
16%
|
75 | 85 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2013 |
POR
2 - 1
PPE
45%
26%
29%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
POR
4 - 2
BAH
51%
27%
22%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2013 |
ATM
2 - 1
POR
70%
18%
12%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2013 |
POR
1 - 3
BOT
27%
26%
47%
|
75 | 85 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Vasco da Gama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2013 |
VAS
0 - 0
ATP
49%
24%
27%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2013 |
NAU
0 - 3
VAS
22%
25%
54%
|
81 | 67 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2013 |
CRZ
5 - 3
VAS
62%
21%
17%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2013 |
VAS
2 - 1
NAC
88%
10%
2%
|
81 | 48 | 33 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2013 |
VAS
1 - 1
COR
39%
28%
33%
|
81 | 87 | 6 | 0 |