Portuguesa vs Sport Recife analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.5%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
23%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23%
18.5%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portuguesa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 1975 |
GRE
1 - 1
POR
52%
28%
20%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 1975 |
SAO
1 - 2
POR
60%
25%
15%
|
79 | 87 | 8 | +1 |
| 20 Nov. 1975 |
SAN
1 - 1
POR
55%
25%
20%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 1975 |
POR
3 - 1
NAU
52%
26%
23%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 1975 |
POR
0 - 2
FLA
48%
27%
25%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Sport Recife
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 1975 |
SPO
0 - 1
FLA
37%
26%
37%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 1975 |
SPO
1 - 3
SAN
48%
28%
25%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 1975 |
NAU
1 - 2
SPO
54%
25%
21%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 Nov. 1975 |
SCI
3 - 1
SPO
67%
19%
15%
|
78 | 87 | 9 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 1975 |
SPO
1 - 1
SAO
29%
27%
45%
|
78 | 87 | 9 | 0 |