Portuguesa vs Rio Claro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.2%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.9%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.1%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.2%
62.5%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
11.2%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.2%
0-3
7.3%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.1%
0-4
3.6%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
-26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portuguesa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2017 |
BRA
1 - 0
POR
62%
22%
16%
|
49 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2017 |
CAP
1 - 0
POR
57%
23%
20%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 2017 |
POR
1 - 2
VOT
38%
27%
36%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2017 |
TAU
1 - 0
POR
57%
23%
20%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2017 |
POR
0 - 2
BOA
56%
23%
22%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Rio Claro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2017 |
RIO
1 - 1
XVD
42%
28%
30%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
RIO
2 - 2
GUA
53%
26%
21%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2017 |
OES
1 - 2
RIO
30%
26%
44%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2017 |
CAP
1 - 3
RIO
24%
24%
53%
|
63 | 53 | 10 | +1 |
| 21 Feb. 2017 |
RIO
1 - 0
SAO
30%
27%
43%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | 0 |