Portuguesa vs Novorizontino analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
11.7%
Win probability
0.52
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
<0%
+2
2.1%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
2.6%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
<0%
+1
9.2%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
12.2%
1-1
10%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.2%
0
24.4%
63.9%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
19.4%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
28.5%
0-2
15.4%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
20.1%
0-3
8.2%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
10%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0%
-4
3.8%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portuguesa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 2025 |
PAL
2 - 0
POR
86%
11%
4%
|
62 | 87 | 25 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
VOT
2 - 0
POR
29%
26%
45%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | -2 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
POR
1 - 0
VOT
53%
27%
21%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
XVD
1 - 2
POR
34%
27%
39%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
POR
1 - 0
XVD
43%
27%
30%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Novorizontino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2025 |
NOV
0 - 1
PPE
64%
21%
15%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2024 |
GOI
1 - 0
NOV
51%
26%
23%
|
86 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2024 |
NOV
1 - 1
PAY
59%
23%
19%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2024 |
NOV
0 - 1
OPE
63%
22%
15%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
CHA
0 - 2
NOV
32%
27%
41%
|
86 | 77 | 9 | 0 |