Portuguesa vs EC Juventude analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.9%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7%
3-0
9%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.7%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.2%
11.9%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portuguesa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
POR
2 - 2
LIN
73%
16%
11%
|
73 | 59 | 14 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2012 |
JUV
2 - 0
POR
23%
23%
54%
|
74 | 59 | 15 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
POR
0 - 2
SAN
27%
24%
49%
|
75 | 85 | 10 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2012 |
PPE
3 - 1
POR
43%
24%
33%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
POR
3 - 0
COM
83%
12%
5%
|
75 | 53 | 22 | +1 |
Matches
EC Juventude
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
JUV
1 - 0
SAN
68%
19%
13%
|
61 | 50 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2012 |
JUV
2 - 0
POR
23%
23%
54%
|
59 | 74 | 15 | +2 |
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
ECS
2 - 1
JUV
42%
25%
33%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2012 |
SLU
1 - 3
JUV
32%
24%
44%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
JUV
0 - 0
YPI
66%
19%
15%
|
59 | 50 | 9 | 0 |