Portuguesa vs Ituano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
6%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
38.4%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.2%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
-22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portuguesa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2018 |
POR
0 - 0
JUV
54%
25%
21%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2018 |
ATI
1 - 2
POR
43%
27%
30%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 Aug. 2018 |
TAB
1 - 1
POR
33%
26%
41%
|
55 | 47 | 8 | -1 |
| 05 Aug. 2018 |
POR
1 - 0
NAC
27%
25%
48%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | +1 |
| 14 Jul. 2018 |
POR
1 - 0
RIV
12%
18%
70%
|
54 | 74 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Ituano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2018 |
ITU
3 - 0
ATI
46%
25%
28%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2018 |
ITU
2 - 1
TAB
61%
22%
17%
|
57 | 47 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2018 |
NAC
3 - 1
ITU
49%
24%
27%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2018 |
ITU
0 - 2
MIR
39%
26%
35%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 2018 |
ITU
2 - 2
FER
30%
27%
42%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | 0 |