Portuguesa vs Guaraní analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.9%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.2%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
20.4%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portuguesa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jun. 2011 |
GRÊ
1 - 1
POR
33%
27%
41%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2011 |
POR
2 - 3
ABC
63%
22%
15%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | -1 |
| 25 May. 2011 |
PAR
1 - 1
POR
23%
27%
51%
|
74 | 62 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2011 |
POR
4 - 0
NAU
59%
23%
18%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | +2 |
| 24 Apr. 2011 |
SAO
2 - 0
POR
71%
18%
11%
|
71 | 85 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
Guaraní
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jun. 2011 |
GUA
2 - 0
BOA
61%
24%
15%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2011 |
VIT
0 - 1
GUA
64%
21%
15%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | +1 |
| 28 May. 2011 |
GUA
1 - 1
SPO
36%
29%
35%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2011 |
CRI
2 - 2
GUA
47%
25%
29%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | +2 |
| 08 May. 2011 |
XVD
2 - 2
GUA
41%
24%
35%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | +1 |