Portuguesa vs Ceará analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.4%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.1%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
22.7%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portuguesa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2009 |
ATL
0 - 1
POR
46%
25%
29%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2009 |
POR
1 - 1
SAO
56%
25%
20%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2009 |
PAR
0 - 2
POR
31%
28%
42%
|
75 | 64 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2009 |
POR
2 - 0
BRA
62%
23%
15%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2009 |
BRA
3 - 2
POR
38%
28%
34%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Ceará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2009 |
CEA
2 - 1
BRA
49%
26%
25%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2009 |
ABC
1 - 3
CEA
32%
26%
42%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 2009 |
CEA
1 - 0
FOR
55%
25%
20%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2009 |
CAM
1 - 3
CEA
27%
26%
48%
|
70 | 56 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2009 |
SAO
0 - 0
CEA
50%
26%
25%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |