Portuguesa vs Barretos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.9%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.1%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
32.9%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+25%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portuguesa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
TOM
2 - 0
POR
58%
24%
18%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2016 |
POR
3 - 1
GUA
74%
17%
10%
|
51 | 37 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
POR
0 - 2
BOA
33%
28%
40%
|
52 | 60 | 8 | -1 |
| 29 Aug. 2016 |
GUA
1 - 0
POR
60%
24%
16%
|
52 | 62 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
POR
1 - 2
JUV
26%
28%
47%
|
53 | 65 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Barretos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2016 |
BAR
0 - 0
SAN
33%
27%
40%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
SAN
2 - 0
BAR
49%
27%
24%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
BAR
1 - 0
TAU
36%
26%
38%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
TAU
2 - 2
BAR
52%
25%
23%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
GUA
0 - 2
BAR
58%
24%
18%
|
52 | 59 | 7 | +1 |