A Merca vs Boado analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
24.4%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.4%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.8%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14.3%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.7%
53.9%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
16.3%
0-3
5%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
9.1%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
A Merca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
VID
1 - 1
MER
63%
19%
18%
|
10 | 12 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
MER
1 - 0
ABO
35%
23%
42%
|
9 | 11 | 2 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
MUN
2 - 2
MER
45%
23%
32%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
MER
2 - 3
PIÑ
23%
22%
55%
|
10 | 14 | 4 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
PAD
1 - 0
MER
49%
23%
29%
|
11 | 11 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Boado
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
ABO
3 - 4
BOA
30%
22%
47%
|
14 | 10 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
BOA
3 - 0
MAC
33%
23%
44%
|
12 | 15 | 3 | +2 |
| 25 Apr. 2015 |
SOU
1 - 3
BOA
30%
23%
47%
|
11 | 8 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
BOA
3 - 3
MUN
64%
19%
18%
|
12 | 9 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
PIÑ
2 - 1
BOA
62%
19%
19%
|
12 | 14 | 2 | 0 |