A Lama SD vs Amanecer analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.4%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.4%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
18.1%
13.5%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-44%
+65%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
A Lama SD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
MAT
0 - 2
ALA
44%
25%
31%
|
15 | 15 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2021 |
ALA
0 - 0
ARC
60%
21%
19%
|
15 | 13 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
ALA
4 - 0
VIL
42%
22%
36%
|
14 | 14 | 0 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
ROM
2 - 1
ALA
23%
24%
53%
|
15 | 10 | 5 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 2020 |
ALA
1 - 2
DOM
82%
12%
6%
|
16 | 9 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Amanecer
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2021 |
AMA
2 - 0
USD
67%
18%
15%
|
11 | 7 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2021 |
MOR
1 - 0
AMA
75%
15%
10%
|
11 | 17 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
AMA
0 - 1
CAM
51%
23%
26%
|
12 | 13 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
ALE
0 - 1
AMA
61%
21%
18%
|
11 | 14 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
AMA
0 - 0
USD
66%
18%
16%
|
11 | 9 | 2 | 0 |